Reassessing ‘Saint Javelin’: Crunching Anti-Tank Missile Numbers

#analysis

The ‘Saint Javelin’ meme, depicting a Madonna figure holding a U.S. missile launcher, has popularized the Javelin anti-tank missile as a symbol of American aid to Ukraine. While celebrated for its effectiveness against Russian tanks, the Javelin’s real impact appears limited, with data suggesting a far lower kill rate than its reputation implies. Approximately 45,000 guided missiles from the U.S., UK, and Ukraine’s own stock have been supplied, but only an estimated 20% have led to confirmed tank kills. Other weapons, like FPV kamikaze drones and artillery, have proven more decisive in destroying Russian armor. Given the high costs of each Javelin missile, future military strategy may need to combine Javelins with cheaper, longer-range alternatives to maximize effectiveness in armored warfare.

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